Overall Orange Tropical Cyclone alert for GOMBE-22 in Madagascar from 07 Mar 2022 18:00 UTC to 08 Mar 2022 16:00 UTC

GDACS is a cooperation framework between the United Nations, the European Commission and disaster managers worldwide to improve alerts, information exchange and coordination in the first phase after major sudden-onset disasters.

Overall Orange alert Tropical Cyclone for GOMBE-22

in Madagascar

Meteorological source:

GDACS JTWC
Primary source
WMO-RSMC La Réunion
10 min - 1 min
Beta version

Impact Single TC

Impact based on all weather systems in the area

Impact
10 min
1 min

Tropical Cyclone GOMBE-22 can have a medium humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source	WMO/RSMC La Réunion - Meteo France
Glide number:	TC-2022-000182-MDG
Exposed countries	Mozambique
Exposed population	200 thousand in Tropical Cyclone or higher
Maximum wind speed	157 km/h (10-min*)
Maximum storm surge	0.5 m (12 Mar 02:00 UTC)
Vulnerability	High (Madagascar)
Landfall	between 11 Mar 2022 16:00 - 12 Mar 2022 04:00 in Mozambique
* GDACS: 1-min sustained winds; WMO/RSMC La Réunion - Meteo France: 10-min average

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.

	Wind (10-min*)	Storm surge	Rainfall	GDACS score
Current	157 km/h	0.5 m	n.a.	1.5
Overall	157 km/h	0.5 m	n.a.	1.5
Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: latest forecast, Overall: entire TC track) based on WMO/RSMC La Réunion - Meteo France impact

Joint Pilot Activity: EC-JRC,WMO/RSMC La Réunion-Meteo France

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Wind
10 min
1 min

Impact Timeline
10 min
1 min

N°	Date (UTC)	Max Winds (km/h) (10-min*)	Population in Tropical Storm or higher	Population in Cat 1. or higher	Countries
1	07 Mar 2022 16:00	139	1.3 million	110 thousand	Mozambique
2	07 Mar 2022 22:00	65	630 thousand	No people	Madagascar
3	08 Mar 2022 04:00	65	340 thousand	No people	Madagascar
4	08 Mar 2022 10:00	148	3.8 million	400 thousand	Mozambique
5	08 Mar 2022 16:00	157	4.6 million	200 thousand	Mozambique

Bulletin Timeline
10 min
1 min

N°	Date (UTC)	Category (SSHS)	Max winds (km/h) (10-min*)	Population in Cat.1 or higher	Population in Tropical Storm or higher	Location (lat, lon)	Countries
1	07 Mar 2022 16:00	Tropical depression	56	no people	15000 people	-15.5, 51.7
2	07 Mar 2022 22:00	Tropical storm	65	no people	630000 people	-15.7, 51
3	08 Mar 2022 04:00	Tropical storm	65	no people	340000 people	-15.5, 50.1	Madagascar
4	08 Mar 2022 10:00	Tropical depression	56	no people	no people	-15.3, 49.4	Madagascar
5	08 Mar 2022 16:00	Tropical depression	37	no people	no people	-14.9, 48.3	Madagascar
5	09 Mar 2022 04:00	Tropical depression	56	no people	no people	-14.8, 47.3	Madagascar
5	09 Mar 2022 16:00	Tropical storm	74	no people	no people	-14.8, 46.1
5	10 Mar 2022 04:00	Tropical storm	93	no people	no people	-15, 44.9
5	10 Mar 2022 16:00	Tropical storm	111	no people	no people	-15.2, 43.7
5	11 Mar 2022 04:00	Category 1	130	22000 people	960000 people	-15.4, 42.5
5	11 Mar 2022 16:00	Category 2	157	200000 people	3.7 million people	-15.5, 41.1
5	12 Mar 2022 04:00	Tropical storm	65	no people	3.6 million people	-15.4, 39.6	Mozambique
5	12 Mar 2022 16:00	Tropical depression	56	no people	no people	-15.3, 38.8	Mozambique
5	13 Mar 2022 04:00	Tropical depression	56	no people	no people	-15.5, 38.7	Mozambique
5	13 Mar 2022 16:00	Tropical depression	56	no people	no people	-16.1, 39.2	Mozambique

Actual track of the current bulletin

The alert for forecast greater than 3 days is limited to Orange level.

Download:

Exposed population - AoIs

Exposed population in the potential affected countries, provinces and populated places

Countries

Country
Mozambique

Provinces

Region Province	Country
Nampula	Mozambique

Critical infrastructure

Airports, ports, nuclear plants and hydrodams at risk, if affected, are listed below.

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Rainfall

Rainfall accumulation of the past 24h, as detected by the Global Precipitation Measurement mission of NASA. For more information, see https://www.nasa.gov/mission_pages/GPM/main/index.html.

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StormSurge

0.5 m

The maximum Storm surge height is 0.5m in Lumbo, Mozambique. This height is estimated for 12 Mar 2022 02:00 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

The storm surge calculations have been performed using 1 min atmospheric wind forcing

Locations affected by Storm surge (100 locations). Calculation based on advisory number 4 of 08 Mar 2022 10:00:00 UTC. (Simulation using 0.5 minute resolution)

Alert	Date (UTC)	Name	Country	Storm surge height (m)
	12 Mar 2022 02:00	Lumbo	Mozambique	0.5
	12 Mar 2022 04:00	Terrene	Mozambique	0.4
	10 Mar 2022 11:00	Antanamazava	Madagascar	0.4
	10 Mar 2022 11:00	Ambatomainty	Madagascar	0.4
	10 Mar 2022 10:00	Ambato	Madagascar	0.4
	10 Mar 2022 11:00	Manehoko	Madagascar	0.4
	12 Mar 2022 02:00	Mosengeri	Mozambique	0.4
	10 Mar 2022 11:00	Anjiabe	Madagascar	0.4
	12 Mar 2022 04:00	Barroa	Mozambique	0.4
	12 Mar 2022 02:00	Mocambique	Mozambique	0.4
	10 Mar 2022 11:00	Antanimandry	Madagascar	0.4
	10 Mar 2022 11:00	Ambodibonara	Madagascar	0.4
	10 Mar 2022 11:00	Tanambao	Madagascar	0.4
	10 Mar 2022 11:00	Anjabe	Madagascar	0.4
	10 Mar 2022 11:00	Andranomena	Madagascar	0.4
	10 Mar 2022 11:00	Ampombilava	Madagascar	0.3
	10 Mar 2022 11:00	Andriana	Madagascar	0.3
	10 Mar 2022 11:00	Andranofotsy	Madagascar	0.3
	12 Mar 2022 01:00	Sanhute	Mozambique	0.3
	12 Mar 2022 01:00	Mossuril	Mozambique	0.3
	12 Mar 2022 01:00	Miaola	Mozambique	0.3
	12 Mar 2022 03:00	Alimperia	Mozambique	0.3
	12 Mar 2022 05:00	Coluvelane	Mozambique	0.3
	08 Mar 2022 06:00	Maroantsetra	Madagascar	0.3
	08 Mar 2022 06:00	Andranofotsy	Madagascar	0.3
	10 Mar 2022 11:00	Nosy Faly	Madagascar	0.3
	10 Mar 2022 11:00	Ambatoxavavy	Madagascar	0.3
	08 Mar 2022 05:00	Mahalevona	Madagascar	0.3
	10 Mar 2022 11:00	Andrafia	Madagascar	0.3
	12 Mar 2022 04:00	Calajulo	Mozambique	0.3
	08 Mar 2022 06:00	Anantoraka	Madagascar	0.3
	11 Mar 2022 23:00	Cabaceira	Mozambique	0.3
	08 Mar 2022 06:00	Manambia	Madagascar	0.3
	08 Mar 2022 07:00	Voloina	Madagascar	0.3
	10 Mar 2022 11:00	Antonibe	Madagascar	0.3
	09 Mar 2022 05:00	Ambalatsingy	Madagascar	0.2
	10 Mar 2022 11:00	Ankinganomby	Madagascar	0.2
	08 Mar 2022 05:00	Ambanizana	Madagascar	0.2
	10 Mar 2022 11:00	Ambodibonara	Madagascar	0.2
	10 Mar 2022 11:00	Tsaratanana	Madagascar	0.2
	10 Mar 2022 10:00	Mailakapasy	Madagascar	0.2
	10 Mar 2022 10:00	Ampasimena	Madagascar	0.2
	08 Mar 2022 05:00	Benjana	Madagascar	0.2
	10 Mar 2022 11:00	Anjiajia	Madagascar	0.2
	12 Mar 2022 06:00	Metopa	Mozambique	0.2
	08 Mar 2022 07:00	Rantabe	Madagascar	0.2
	08 Mar 2022 02:00	Anjanozana	Madagascar	0.2
	12 Mar 2022 09:00	Injaca	Mozambique	0.2
	10 Mar 2022 11:00	Bobasakoa	Madagascar	0.2
	08 Mar 2022 02:00	Anaovandrano	Madagascar	0.2
	08 Mar 2022 02:00	Ampanavoana	Madagascar	0.2
	10 Mar 2022 10:00	Ambaliha	Madagascar	0.2
	11 Mar 2022 21:00	Messonta	Mozambique	0.2
	10 Mar 2022 11:00	Antaribao	Madagascar	0.2
	10 Mar 2022 11:00	Ampasindava	Madagascar	0.2
	10 Mar 2022 11:00	Amboaboaka	Madagascar	0.2
	10 Mar 2022 11:00	Matahibory	Madagascar	0.2
	10 Mar 2022 11:00	Boanamary	Madagascar	0.2
	12 Mar 2022 09:00	Lunga	Mozambique	0.2
	12 Mar 2022 09:00	Ali	Mozambique	0.2
	12 Mar 2022 09:00	Muaco	Mozambique	0.2
	10 Mar 2022 11:00	Katsepy	Madagascar	0.2
	10 Mar 2022 11:00	Antsahampano	Madagascar	0.2
	08 Mar 2022 02:00	Antanjokatafana	Madagascar	0.1
	08 Mar 2022 06:00	Maintimbato	Madagascar	0.1
	08 Mar 2022 05:00	Tampolo	Madagascar	0.1
	08 Mar 2022 02:00	Maniroka	Madagascar	0.1
	10 Mar 2022 11:00	Ankinganifahatelo	Madagascar	0.1
	10 Mar 2022 11:00	Andranira	Madagascar	0.1
	12 Mar 2022 09:00	Quinga	Mozambique	0.1
	10 Mar 2022 11:00	Mahabo	Madagascar	0.1
	08 Mar 2022 02:00	Ratsianarana	Madagascar	0.1
	08 Mar 2022 02:00	Ambodivato	Madagascar	0.1
	10 Mar 2022 11:00	Ambaramidada	Madagascar	0.1
	10 Mar 2022 11:00	Ankazomalemy	Madagascar	0.1
	10 Mar 2022 11:00	Antetikireja	Madagascar	0.1
	10 Mar 2022 11:00	Ampohana	Madagascar	0.1
	12 Mar 2022 08:00	Metula	Mozambique	0.1
	10 Mar 2022 11:00	Majunga	Madagascar	0.1
	08 Mar 2022 06:00	Fananehana	Madagascar	0.1
	08 Mar 2022 04:00	Antalavia	Madagascar	0.1
	10 Mar 2022 11:00	Ambanisanjo	Madagascar	0.1
	10 Mar 2022 11:00	Ambatobe	Madagascar	0.1
	10 Mar 2022 11:00	Nhangau	Mozambique	0.1
	10 Mar 2022 11:00	Chofandicho	Mozambique	0.1
	10 Mar 2022 10:00	Mahabo	Madagascar	0.1
	10 Mar 2022 10:00	Chululu	Mozambique	0.1
	08 Mar 2022 05:00	Anoromby	Madagascar	0.1
	08 Mar 2022 05:00	Rantranavona	Madagascar	0.1
	10 Mar 2022 11:00	Fadrina	Madagascar	0.1
	10 Mar 2022 11:00	Tomodo	Mozambique	0.1
	10 Mar 2022 11:00	Mutiba	Mozambique	0.1
	11 Mar 2022 20:00	Matibane	Mozambique	0.1
	10 Mar 2022 11:00	Ampasitsilavitra	Madagascar	0.1
	10 Mar 2022 10:00	Napito	Mozambique	0.1
	10 Mar 2022 10:00	Namorre	Mozambique	0.1
	08 Mar 2022 03:00	Fampotabe	Madagascar	0.1
	08 Mar 2022 02:00	Vinanivao	Madagascar	0.1
	10 Mar 2022 10:00	Morrua	Mozambique	0.1
	10 Mar 2022 10:00	Metapa	Mozambique	0.1

Disclaimer
While we try everything to ensure accuracy, this information is purely indicative and should not be used for any decision making without alternate sources of information.
The JRC is not responsible for any damage or loss resulting from the use of the information presented on this website.
The designations employed and the presentation of material on the map do not imply the expression of any opinion whatsoever on the part of the European Union concerning the legal status of any country, territory or area or of its authorities, or concerning the delimitation of its frontiers or boundaries.

Impact 10 min1 min